The ‘off the rails’ post
(Written by kencraw)
I try very hard to keep an even keel about things. I go to Cal football games to enjoy myself. I can’t read the various message boards after the bad losses because the negativity is SSOOOOOO amazingly overwhelming that it just sucks the life out of me. While I also don’t want to be accused of being a ‘sunshine pumper’ I refuse to let this blog become a place of continuous and overwhelming negativity.
Thus I give you my ONE get-it-off-my-chest, airing my inner-demon, off-the-rails post:
Can anyone think of an example of such an epic collapse?
I’ve seen lots of coaches get fired over the last 10+ years of watching college football closely, but I can’t think of any examples of a coach with this long of a sustained run of bowl games (9 out of 10), who all of a sudden is at risk of a 1-win season.
It’s particularly galling considering that there are none of the excuses one might have for a weak year. The new QB, a ‘young team’, big injury problems, bad recruiting, etc… the Bears have none of those, at least to the degree that there’s any reason to put the blame on those things.
I feel like the 28 year-old stock-exchange traders in 2008‘
Remember those stories a couple years back about how there was a huge crop of stock traders, who had never seen a recession before, but because of the extended run-up, were surprisingly high up in their companies and making multi-million dollar decisions in an environment they had ZERO experience with?
That’s how I fee watching this collapse. Holmoe was something very different than this. The team was bad to start with, he never really got them moving forward, and you only give a coach so long to get the program moving in the right direction. I admit I was a bit surprised he fell to 1-10, but it wasn’t exactly a long fall from 3-8.
This has caught me off-guard. I’ve never seen a team quit. I’ve never seen such a regression. I’ve never seen a coach quit.
I’m not so sure I feel sorry for Tedford
Speaking of the coach quitting, I’m pretty appalled with Tedford right now. I still believe that he did something remarkable in Berkeley over his tenure and this will always be the house that Tedford built, but he’s quickly burning through any goodwill I had for him.
We’re not paying him 2.5 million a year for this sort of a lack of effort. I’m pretty sure that fabled cot of his hasn’t seen anyone lay down on it in a long time and is covered in dust, not blood and sweat.
I can have a lot of sympathy for a guy who’s giving it his all but just doesn’t have it in him. Heck, I still like Holmoe! I think it’s great he moved up to being an AD, a job he seems more suited to, and wish him the best at BYU. He was a sub-par football head coach but he is a very nice guy by all accounts.
But I have NO SYMPATHY for someone who’s not trying, particularly when they’re collecting a big salary. Tedford looks to me like a guy who is just showing up to collect his big paycheck. I’m not so sure he’s a nice guy who wants to do it the right way anymore. His team’s APR scores don’t reflect that. His team’s on the field performance doesn’t reflect that. They reflect a lazy man who doesn’t really care and is bilking donors for millions of dollars.
This team could REALLY go 1-11
If they put up the sort of effort they did today, particularly considering the two most winnable games are on the road, it’s not unreasonable to think this team goes 1-11. Utah and WSU will be licking their chops looking for their own meager victories to save them from the dreaded basement.
Considering the talent on this team, that’s disgusting.
ASU isn’t very good
I keep reading in various places that we lost to a pretty good ASU team. I call
BS!
ASU wasn’t very good. ASU fans should be worried sick that the ridiculous performance the Bears put up today managed to get to 17-20 4th quarter score. ASU wasn’t very good. It’s part of why the loss was so appalling.
Keenan Allen is part of the problem
Is he really as good as we all talk about him being? The guy is dropping passes. The guy has the worst traction on the field EVERY WEEK, worse than any other player on either team. I’m not so sure he runs very crisp routes. He’s not getting that open (not nearly as much as the other receivers that Maynard is ignoring). Yeah, there’s no doubt he’s still fast and big and doesn’t go down easy, breaking through arm tackles, but is he really that good?
I don’t think so.
And yeah, I know he was sick yesterday. I’m basing this on his body of work for the season, not yesterday alone.
The Faustian bargain that sank Tedford
Speaking of which, I think the package deal that got Tedford Keenan Allen, may just have been the moment where he lost his mojo and eventually his job. It’s ironic that it was for a wide-receiver, as the last time he had ‘team chemistry’ problems, 2007, it was a wide receiver (Desean Jackson) who was rumored to be at the center of it.
You get this feeling that a big part of the reason Tedford has lost this team, that they don’t seem to “get” what he’s trying to teach them, has to do with the fact that Maynard is under center. I still believe that Maynard has more potential than many give him credit for, but there are plenty of other QB’s on the roster with potential.
It just feels like part of the deal with Keenan Allen was that he had the right to insist on his brother as QB as long as he was close to as good as the rest. Tedford has never named a new starter at the end of Spring practice. Heck, did he ever do it with an established starter? Why all of a sudden with Maynard did he?
The whole situation reeks.
Sorry, there weren’t 51k people there today
There seems to be some disagreement as to how many people were at the game yesterday. Of course everyone agrees that the stated number is ticket sales, but many thought it didn’t look much more empty than previous 50k games.
But that was back when the stadium held 72k and the donor sections were packed to the gills, making the empty sections look emptier by comparison. With a half empty set of donor seats and only 63k capacity, that south endzone and the corners looked VERY empty. I wouldn’t be surprised if only 40k, heck maybe even 35k, were there.
The fans have been deciding on Tedford’s contract with their feet and it’s not pretty.
The whole situation is not pretty.
September 30th, 2012 at 7:36 am
I get criticized for this, but I think the following is a stat that lets us know how competitive Cal really is, not judging the # of bowl games, overall records, or players in the NFL.
If you toss out the cupcake wins both in conference and out of conference since Longshore was injured in 2007, Jeff Tedford’s record is:
14-31
This includes all games vs FCS teams, Washington St, and non-conference/conference teams having bad years (your Colorados, a few Washington wins, etc). The 2009 Maryland game, only because Maryland was awful, was tossed out. 2008 Colorado St win was kept in there, since they went on to win 7 or 8 games. You can see my logic: Cal’s record against middle to good to great teams is terrible.
The college football system has allowed Tedford to mask a lot of mediocrity for 5 years. Stripping it down as I did gives you 7-9 challenging games per year and allows for wheat and chaff separation.
September 30th, 2012 at 7:42 am
Tell us how you really feel, Ken.
I can’t argue with any of this. Clearly it’s time for a change. I wonder who is out there. Any Harbaughs-in-waiting in DII or a hungry coach in a mid-major? I have to think that the days of Cal not being a desirable gig are over. The facilities, the bay area, the conference– it all adds up to a good package.
September 30th, 2012 at 9:10 am
You’re right joshiemac, the days of the Cal job not being desireable are over. Cal now has great facilities, has a team that is not a constant bottom-feeder and is willing to pay a competive salary. These are all changes from 10 years ago. Add to that the ‘always hads’: a great university to sell, a great metro area, great weather, etc., and Cal should be able to get a very good coach (if we do a good job picking one).
October 1st, 2012 at 8:23 am
Bobby Petrino is available. The ethics problem that got him fired in Arkansas is over. Gary Patterson (TCU) is an excellent coach — would he leave TCU for Cal? Then there is Sonny Dykes of LA Tech. Is Cal ready for the spread? If Cal wanted to find a good coach, one is available.
If Wazzou can get Mike Leach, Cal could get what they want.