BCS fallout thoughts
(Written by kencraw)
Still don’t have a lot to say about the Bears, although I probably will have some larger reflections about things after this afternoon’s meeting between Barbour and Tedford, particularly if it goes the way I think it goes…
But right now I want to give some hope to Oregon fans: YOU NEED NO MIRACLE!
It’s amazing how analysts don’t look forward and do some easy calculations when they talk about things. Here’s what Oregon needs:
- USC to beat Notre Dame on its home turf
- UCLA to beat Stanford
- Win their remaining games against OSU and then the Pac-12 title game against UCLA at home.
I ask anyone out there to give me a different team who would play the winner of the SEC title game for the BCS championship besides Oregon in that scenario.
Kansas State lost to a FAR inferior team than Oregon did, so they’re going to swap spots relative to each other. Notre Dame will have lost more recently than Oregon, always a bad thing in the BCS, and will return to their spot below Oregon as they have all season.
Then there’s the 3 SEC teams with one loss (Alabama, Georgia and Florida), of which either Alabama or Georgia will have a loss from the SEC title game. So the question is can Florida, who lost to Georgia, make it a 2nd consecutive year of an all-SEC title game? That’s the strongest possibility that would keep Oregon out, but my gut says no. So I guess if you wanted something to REALLY ensure it’ll be Oregon, add Florida State beating Florida this week to the list.
I guess it’s theoretically possible a one-loss Florida State, after upsetting Florida next Saturday as Oregon fans now otherwise want, could get back in the mix, but since they’re currently #10, that’s a HUGE longshot with the ACC not having much respect and their loss to North Carolina State being of a far lesser quality that Oregon’s loss to Stanford.
So I submit to you, if the above happens, all of which is VERY reasonable and not a “miracle” as Ted Miller puts it, Oregon WILL play for the national title.
November 18th, 2012 at 8:54 pm
Definitely not a miracle. They have the third highest odds to *win* the BCS Championship at +850 (about 10.5%), so the odds to make the BCS Championship game would have to be higher than that.
Also, I noticed some spammy html on your site. It’s inside a ‘p’ block with class ‘nemonn.’ It starts with the text ‘Obtaining best…’ In Firefox, on this specific blog post, it shows up
November 18th, 2012 at 8:58 pm
Definitely not a miracle. They currently have the third highest odds to *win* the BCS Championship at +850 (about 10.5%), so the odds to make the BCS Championship game would have to be at least double that.
Also, I noticed some spammy html on your site, on every page. It’s inside a ‘p’ block with class ‘nemonn.’ It starts with the text ‘Obtaining best…’ In Firefox, on this specific blog post, it shows up on lines 148-150 in the source. (I only noticed because it showed up in the Instapaper’d text).
Unless this is a unique way of getting money for the Fire Tedford fund?