Re-watch of Ole Miss game
(Written by kencraw)
Had a ton of fun at the Ole Miss game last Saturday night. But these late games kill me. I was up for 7:30 AM Mass on Sunday and felt like I didn’t get my feet back underneath me until this morning. In any case, here are my notes based on re-watching the game this evening:
- As much as the coverage wasn’t all that good on the 1st long pass for Ole Miss, that was an exceptionally well thrown ball.
- One of the things I don’t like about watching games on TV is you don’t get a good sense of what is happening downfield, so you can’t see this on TV, but that long pass the Bears only had one safety on that 1st long pass play and left the corner on an island. Not a good schematic choice.
- The 2nd down run on the goal line stand was very indicative of how the Bear defense has changed. There must have been 8 defenders around the runner when they finally brought him down. While that particular play wasn’t the best tackling, the swarming defense prevented any meaningful damage being done.
- Bears got a little lucky on that diving missed catch on 3rd down. A good receiver would have caught that ball. But, who can argue with forcing a field goal after the long pass play.
- (Ole Miss FG: 0-3, early 1st quarter)
- I wasn’t particularly pleased with the play calling and execution on the Bears 1st drive that resulted in a 3 and out, particularly Bowers pass on 3rd down. He picked the wrong receiver.
- Why was it Ole Miss was struggling with false starts so much? It’s not like it was loud at the game. (Frankly, attendance was pathetic.)
- The early interception was much needed after the 3 and out. It really helped the Bears to have those turnovers in the 1st half while they were still figuring out the right pass protections.
- Our new TE Reinwald had a great game. He has great hands and runs great routes. His difficult catch on 2nd and 10 that setup 3rd and 2 for the touchdown run was a critical catch.
- As for the touchdown, what a good play call (the option) and great execution. Bowers played it perfectly. He forced the LB to cover him before tossing it. And then Laird turned on the jets and bowled himself into the endzone.
- (Cal TD: 7-3, 8 mins left 1st quarter)
- And if false starts aren’t bad enough, delay of game penalties too for Ole Miss. That was the sort of stuff that scares me into fearing Ole Miss isn’t very good and we’re over rating this win.
- The coverage on the long TD catch for Ole Miss was H-O-R-R-I-B-L-E!!! And yet again, only one safety back and he took a *very* bad route to the WR.
- (Ole Miss TD: 7-10, 8 mins left 1st quarter)
- Ole Miss had a pretty good kicker for kickoffs. The ball hung up there for a long time and generally was pretty deep. That was why the Bears returns were so short.
- The Bears clearly thought the swingout passes to Laird would work in their game planning. They were clearly wrong. But the good news is they only ran it a few times and abandoned it as part of mid-game adjustments. How long has it been since we’ve said that for the coaching staff?
- Noa had the best hands of the WR’s in this game. 3rd and 20 and he hauls in a tough one fit in a tight window for a 1st down.
- I didn’t see it live nor did they really show it on TV, but what did Wilcox do to get a personal foul after that no-call on the pass interference? Doesn’t really seem his style. Perhaps it was something inadvertent like touching the ref.
- After the punt with 4:30 remaining in the 1st quarter is when the Bears changed to a 2 safety scheme. It was also when Ole Miss started running the ball more.
- And the Bears get another interception. In fairness, Ole Miss would have had to punt had it just been an incomplete. But again, the Bears really needed every chance to get off the field as the defense was finding their legs. That one was just a great coverage by the corner and a heads up play by the safety.
- Another key catch by Reinwald! I’m telling you, this guy is going to be good. Also, good play calling there. Even though it was 3rd and 2, the Bears knew running up the middle was dicey the way Ole Miss had been playing on the line. So fake the run and to a quick out to the TE. That’s good play calling.
- The Ole Miss defense was pretty disciplined. The few times Cal ran a play counting on them over pursuing, they didn’t go well.
- I still have no idea what has happened to Matt Anderson. That guy was money last year. And even before Saturday you could tell he wasn’t himself. But how many did he miss Saturday, three?
- OK, so the last Ole Miss TD, Cal had 2-deep safeties, I think the scheme was right, but the execution was horrible. The safety bit on the run fake and that meant disaster.
- (Ole Miss TD (missed extra point): 7-16 with 13 minutes left in 2nd quarter)
- Also, it is worth saying that the Cal defense didn’t just hold Ole Miss scoreless in the 2nd half, it basically did it for the 2nd quarter as well. 43 minutes to be accurate.
- I have to admit, after Cal had a 3 and out at this point, I thought it was going to be a very long night. The offense was dying and the defense couldn’t stop the big play to save their lives.
- Both of the next two Ole Miss offensive sequences the Bears played really good defense, particularly in coverage. There was no meaningful pressure, but Patterson just had no where to go with the ball.
- I think the TV commentators were too hung up on not having Demetris Robertson. He hasn’t exactly had a banner season thus far. Yes, he’s fast and yes, he helps Cal stretch the field. But he’s not indispensable to this offense.
- Wharton and Bowers were in good rhythm in the 1st two games, but on Saturday, they just weren’t in sync, particularly in the 1st half. Wharton let one go through his hands. Bowers over threw him. They just weren’t clicking.
- It obviously was the right decision to take the field goal off the board and take the 1st down, but I remember thinking at the time (particularly with how poorly the offense had been executing) that an interception would suck when they had taken 3 points off the board.
- Bowers mistake on the interception was that he didn’t put any air under it. You have to loft that up so no one at the front of the endzone can make a play on it. Bowers had his struggles in this game with slinging it in there a few times when some touch would have been wiser.
- Both teams had stupid penalties, but the stupidest of the game may have been Downs shove of the QB after he was out of bounds. Why in the world did he do that? It wasn’t even remotely close or justifiable. Good thing it didn’t burn the Bears.
- I wasn’t too pleased with the clock management on the last drive before halftime. But, seeing as how the offense was struggling all half, perhaps playing it a little conservative and going into the locker room without a terrible mistake was the right choice.
- And not that it generally matters much, but the execution on that Hail Mary pass was pretty pathetic. No Cal receiver was in the area.
- In contrast to the good play calling on the previous 3rd and short, on the 1st drive of the 2nd half, the Bears tried to run up the middle into the expected blitz and failed miserably. Luckily the Bears converted on 4th down to prevent the drive from stalling
- Gotta give Bowers credit for knowing his offense and the play when Ole Miss does an all-out blitz on 3rd and 7 just outside the red zone. That said, it showed that Ole Miss didn’t have much respect for Bowers. One should expect a good QB to read that one right and take the easy TD pass on the slant.
- (Bears score TD: 14-16 with 11 minutes left in the 3rd quarter)
- Downs again on the late hit on the QB. I didn’t catch that it was the same guy both times. This one wasn’t nearly as stupid/bad, but still, with the way the game is played today, he should have known to back off.
- Another drive killing false start for Ole Miss and they almost had another drive killing delay of game had the coach not called a timeout.
- The mid-3rd quarter drive the Bears had was the point when I thought the Bears had the advantage. The balance of the offense between run and pass was good and one had to think they’d keep going. I was a bit frustrated that the play calling from 1st and 10 from the 11 was so boring (3 inside runs) and resulted in a stalled drive/field goal.
- (Bears score FG: 17-16 with 3 minutes left in the 3rd)
- By this point in the game, it was clear just how much the Cal defense confused the Ole Miss QB Patterson. He was very hesitant. One wonders if he was coached to play it conservative under the thought that the Cal offense was stagnant and they had to believe they’d get a couple more long passes at some point. Both were of course mis-calculations (had they even thought that).
- One of the things that is harder to sense at the stadium is less-prominent player changes, like the kicker. I though the Ole Miss kicker who shanked the extra point was the same guy who shanked the 4th quarter field goal attempt. Turns out it was an entirely different guy and the 1st one was due to an injury mid-play.
- Gotta love the heart of Bowers to leap to try and get the 1st down. I’m not sure it was advisable, we need him after all, but great heart and the sort of thing a young team needs from its leader. It speaks to the coaches motivation of the players as well.
- Ole Miss gave Cal another free 1st down with 12 men on the field for a punt. I think the Bears would have won anyway, but Ole Miss could have made it a lot tighter if they had played a cleaner game, penalty wise.
- Have the Bears failed to convert on a 4th down try yet? The Bears have gone for a number (and all of them in appropriate times) and it has been working for them. But it was now 2 4th downs on this drive (the penalty and the run) and they’re still going.
- But then of course Matt Anderson pushes it again for another miss.
- The refs blew it on an intentional grounding for Ole Miss. The penalty is 5 yards from the spot of the throw plus loss of down. The ball was thrown from the 12 and they spotted it at the 12. It should have been at the 7.
- The composure of the offense in the 4th quarter is impressive. Their execution isn’t great, but they’re battling and they have confidence they can get the job done. They didn’t make any meaningful mistakes.
- And this time Anderson rewards the offense’s persistence.
- (Bears score FG: 20-16 with 3 minutes left)
- OK, I told my son at the beginning of the Ole Miss drive that on their 4th pass attempt of the drive, they’d throw an interception. I just had a feeling that now that they were down by more than a field goal, the QB would start pressing and he couldn’t play it conservative anymore. I didn’t call it quite right, it was the 3rd play and only the 2nd pass, but I had the dynamics right. That was a QB who could no longer afford to be careful, but he was still confused by the coverage schemes Cal was showing him. Result: Pick-6!
- (Bears score TD: 27-16 with 3 minutes left)
- Bynum (#24) played an incredible last drive at cornerback. He was challenged twice on a long pass play and both times he knocked the ball away.
- These announcers were *waaay* too obsessed with the idea of kicking a field goal first and then doing the onside kick. They were down by 11. If you kick the field goal, you need both an onside kick and a two-point conversion. Both are low percentage plays. And it just gets a tie to go to overtime. No, you go for the win with 2 touchdowns. Ole Miss played it right (minus the execution to get it done).
- Although the announcers might have been right on 4th and 8. That’s a pretty low percentage play in the redzone. But they still don’t seem to be recognizing the two-point conversion issue.
- It was very appropriate that Cal gets a sack with a middle linebacker blitz on 4th and 8 to effectively end the game. The defensive blitzing scheme the Bears used in this game was top notch and considering it also came with a pass coverage scheme that confused Patterson as well, it was a very impressive game plan once they solved the deep pass problem.
- Final score 27-16. Go Bears!
September 20th, 2017 at 8:46 pm
Thanks for the detailed analysis! It was fun to read.
Are you going to revise your prediction for USC?
September 20th, 2017 at 9:11 pm
Yup, I’ll do a preview post on Friday for USC with a new prediction.